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Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs have picked up the mantle from Tom Brady and his Super Bowl run with New England. Mahomes already has three with the Chiefs, including the last two to become the first back-to-back winners since Brady and the Pats in the 2003 and 2004 seasons.
Over-all, Brady helped guide the Patriots to six Super Bowl victories and added one more with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The seven title rings is more than any other player in history.
The first came at the age of 25, and the last at the age of 43.
Even more amazing than wining seven Super Bowls is the fact that his teams only lost three times in ten tries.
Mahomes was 24 when he won his first Super Bowl and 28 for his third.
The Chiefs are the Super Bowl betting favorites (+550) to make history this year with a third straight title. Just making it to three straight Super Bowls is a nearly improbably feat. New England did it once in 2017, 2018 and 2019.
The NFL Congrove Computer Rankings at CollegeFootballPoll.com has the Chiefs with shockingly little competition for the AFC title. Thursday night's opponent, the Baltimore Ravens, are one of just five AFC teams projected to get to double-digit wins. Three of those, including the Chiefs and Ravens, along with the Indianapolis Colts are forecast to go 14-3. By the computer's calculations, the Colts have the easiest schedule of all 32 teams while Chiefs play the No. 10 slate and the Ravens have to face the 4th-toughest lineup.
Nine of the sixteen games this week have seen zero movement since we first posted them nearly a week ago. The sharpest change has occurred in Cincinnati's home game with New England where the 9.5-point opening spread has been cut 7.5, and the computer has the line below that number at 6.58.
If you're playing in a Survival Pool (aka, knockout, last man standing, etc.), you could do worse than picking Cincinnati this week.
The other games that have shown some movement are Pittsburgh at Atlanta, Carolina at New Orleans, Denver at Seattle, Houston at Indianapolis, Las Vegas at the LA Chargers, and Washington at Tampa. Virtually all have seen only a half-point move.
Check out Wednesday's updated line and the computer's picks where you'll also see three opposite plays this week with the Steelers edging the Falcons on the road, the Colts at home taking down the Texans, and the Giants upending the favored Vikes in the Meadowlands.
The computer actually only has one road winner, and that's Pittsburgh in Atlanta.
Several road teams are projected to keep it under the spread in a losing effort, led off by Baltimore (+3) on Thursday night as a 2.20-point underdog at Arrowhead. The computer also has Pittsburgh (+3.5) winning outright at Atlanta, New England (+7.5) within 6.58 at Cincinnati, Dallas (+2.5) down by 2.32 in Cleveland, Denver (+5.5) at a substantially lower margin of 2.72 at Seattle, and Las Vegas (+3) at 2.56 at the Chargers.
The computer has seven games where the Moneyline winner is also expected to cover the spread with Buffalo (-6.5) by 6.63 over Arizona, New Orleans (-3.5) by 9.80 over Carolina, Chicago (-4.5) by 6.80 over Tennessee, Detroit (-3.5) by 5.44 over the LA Rams, Miami (-3.5) by 4.05 over Jacksonville, Tampa Bay (-3.5) by 9.37 over Washington, and San Francisco (-4.5) 8.70 over the New York Jets as Aaron Rodgers gives it another shot.