Confidence Points is a popular pick 'em game for college football fans that presents the dual challenge of picking the winners and assigning points to each pick.
There will be 39 bowl confidence assignments this season, including the determined first round games of the College Football Playoff. However, any games after the 1st round are not, and should not, be included as those are not pre-determined matches and the outcomes of each subsequent round would necessitate a re-shuffling of the confidence rank.
Assign 39 to the pick that gives you the most confidence, and assign 1 to the pick that gives you the least confidence. No number can be assigned more than once.
A perfect record this year would be a total score of 780.
The computer scored 452 points last year as coaching changes, player holdouts, NFL draft declarations, and transfer portal activity have all combined to make projecting bowl season outcomes all that more difficult. But everyone playing the Confidence Points game is faced with the same circumstances.
All of those scenarios existed in 2022, as well, but the computer scored 616 out of a possible 816 points (71.54%) that year, after only scoring 350 out of the possible 703-point perfect (49.8%). in 2021. The computer did 72% in 2020, and 69% in 2019.
Here is how the computer (Congrove Computer Rankings at CollegeFootballPoll.com) ranks its' picks, based on its' projected margin of victory for each bowl winner.
Confidence Points - Prior Years: 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017
Original upload: December 12.
Latest update: December 24 after Hawaii Bowl
Home Team in Bold, where applicable (1st round playoffs and Myrtle Beach Bowl)
Pts. | Bowl Game | Date | Computer's Pick | Pts. Won | Pts. Lost |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
39. | Gator | 1/2 | Mississippi 21.54 over Duke | ||
38. | Independence | 12/28 | Army 14.96 over Louisiana Tech | ||
37. | Playoff - 1st round | 12/20 | Notre Dame 14.71 over Indiana | 37 | |
36. | Playoff - 1st round | 12/21 | Texas 14.15 over Clemson | 36 | |
35. | Playoff - 1st round | 12/21 | Ohio State 13.34 over Tennessee | 35 | |
34. | First Responder | 1/3 | Texas State 12.46 over North Texas | ||
33. | Armed Forces | 12/27 | Oklahoma 11.39 over Navy | ||
32. | Military | 12/28 | NC State 10.69 over East Carolina | ||
31. | Fenway | 12/28 | North Carolina 10.55 over UConn | ||
30. | Bahamas | 1/4 | Liberty 10.46 over Buffalo | ||
29. | Arizona | 12/28 | Miami (O) 9.16 over Colorado State | ||
28. | Playoff - 1st round | 12/21 | Penn State 9.06 over So. Methodist | 28 | |
27. | 68 Ventures | 12/26 | Bowling Green 8.69 over Arkansas State | ||
26. | Hawaii | 12/24 | USF 8.50 over San Jose State | 26 | |
25. | Sun | 12/31 | Louisville 8.25 or Washington | ||
24. | Citrus | 12/31 | South Carolina 7.79 over Illinois | ||
23. | Music City | 12/30 | Iowa 7.47 over Missouri | ||
22. | Texas | 12/31 | LSU 7.14 over Baylor | ||
21. | Pop Tarts | 12/28 | Miami (FLA) 6.79 over Iowa State | ||
20. | Salute to Veterans | 12/14 | South Alabama 6.05 over Western Michigan | 20 | |
19. | Holiday | 12/27 | Syracuse 5.99 over Washington State | ||
18. | Birmingham | 12/27 | Georgia Tech 5.75 over Vanderbilt | ||
17. | ReliaQuest | 12/31 | Alabama 5.69 over Michigan | ||
16. | Frisco | 12/17 | Memphis 5.10 over West Virginia | 16 | |
15. | New Mexico | 12/28 | TCU 4.65 over Louisiana | ||
14. | New Orleans | 12/19 | Georgia Southern 4.49 over Sam Houston | 14 | |
13. | GameAbove Sports | 12/26 | Pittsburgh 3.94 over Toledo | ||
12. | Myrtle Beach | 12/23 | UTSA 3.32 over Coastal Carolina | 12 | |
11. | Rate | 12/26 | Kansas State 2.81 over Rutgers | ||
10. | Liberty | 12/27 | Arkansas 2.42 over Texas Tech | ||
9. | Boca Raton | 12/18 | James Madison 2.35 over Western Kentucky | 9 | |
8. | Duke's Mayo | 1/3 | Minnesota 2.04 over Virginia Tech | ||
7. | Alamo | 12/28 | Colorado 2.03 over BYU | ||
6. | Las Vegas | 12/27 | USC 1.95 over Texas A&M | ||
5. | Cure | 12/20 | Jax State 1.72 over Ohio | 5 | |
4. | Pinstripe | 12/28 | Boston College 1.48 over Nebraska | ||
3. | Gasparilla | 12/20 | Florida 1.28 over Tulane | 3 | |
2. | L.A. Bowl | 12/18 | UNLV 0.20 over California | 2 | |
1. | Famous Idaho Potato | 12/23 | Fresno State 0.06 over Northern Illinois | 1 | |
Totals |
224 | 20 | |||
Maximum Points Possible (perfect score=780) | 760 |