News/Commentary

2023 Bowl Confidence Points

December 6, 2023 by CollegeFootballPoll.com Staff

Confidence Points is a popular pick 'em game for college football fans that presents the dual challenge of picking the winners and assigning points to each pick. We can't count the Championship game since we don't know who's playing in it, so that leaves us with 41 games we can use. Assign 41 to the pick that gives you the most confidence, and assign 1 to the pick that gives you the least confidence. No number can be assigned more than once. A perfect record this year would be a total score of 861.

The computer captured a whopping 616 out of a possible 816 points (71.54%) in 2022 after a lousy 2021 when it only scored 350 out of the possible 703-point perfect (49.8%). The computer did 72% in 2020, and 69% in 2019.

Keep in mind that the computer pick does not change with regards to injured players, opt-outs, head coach, coordinator changes, or any other extenuating factors.

Here is how the computer (Congrove Computer Rankings at CollegeFootballPoll.com) ranks its' picks, based on its' projected margin of victory for each bowl winner.

Confidence Points - Prior Years : 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017

Original upload: December 6.
Latest update: After all bowl games completed

Pts. Bowl Game Date Computer's Pick Pts. Won Pts. Lost
41. Liberty 12/29 Oregon 29.60 over Liberty 41  
40. 68 Ventures 12/23 South Alabama 19.07 over Eastern Michigan 40  
39. Las Vegas 12/23 Utah 19 over Northwestern   39
38. Frisco 12/19 UTSA 18.19 over Marshall 38  
37. Guaranteed Rate 12/26 Kansas 17.847 over UNLV 37  
36. ReliaQuest 1/1 LSU 17.846 over Wisconsin 36  
35. Boca Raton 12/21 Syracuse 17.65 over USF   35
34. Fenway 12/28 SMU 15.59 over Boston College   34
33. Texas 12/27 Texas A&M 12.28 over Oklahoma State   33
32. Pop-Tarts 12/28 Kansas State 11.08 over NC State 32  
31. Gasparilla 12/22 UCF 10.85 over Georgia Tech   31
30. Pinstripe 12/28 Miami (FL) 10.50 over Rutgers   30
29. Cotton 12/29 Ohio State 10.27 over Missouri   29
28. Citrus 1/1 Tennessee 9.67 over Iowa 28  
27. Quick Lane 12/26 Minnesota 9.47 over Bowling Green 27  
26. Hawaii 12/23 San Jose State 9.39 over Coastal Carolina   26
25. First Responder 12/26 Rice 8.76 over Texas State   25
24. Sun 12/29 Notre Dame 8.68 over Oregon State 24  
23. Liberty 12/29 Iowa State 7.83 over MEMPHIS   23
22. Duke's Mayo 12/27 North Carolina 7.77 over West Virginia   22
21. Peach 12/30 Penn State 7.50 over Ole Miss   21
20. Gator 12/29 Clemson 7.37 over Kentucky 20  
19. Famous Toastery 12/18 Western Kentucky 7.13 over Old Dominion 19  
18. Alamo 12/28 Oklahoma 6.95 over Arizona   18
17. Independence 12/16 Texas Tech 6.84 over Cal 17  
16. Myrtle Beach 12/16 Ohio 6.60 over Georgia Southern 16  
15. Rose 1/1 Michigan 5.83 over Alabama 15  
14. Armed Forces 12/23 James Madison 5.69 over Air Force   14
13. New Orleans 12/16 Jacksonville State 5.243 over Louisiana 13  
12. Music City 12/30 Auburn 5.235 over Maryland   12
11. Sugar 1/1 Texas 4.82 over Washington   11
10. Birmingham 12/23 Duke 4.70 over Troy 10  
9. Holiday 12/27 USC 4.22 over Louisville 9  
8. New Mexico 12/16 Fresno State 2.92 over New Mexico State 8  
7. Camellia 12/23 Northern Illinois 2.87 over Arkansas State 7  
6. Military 12/27 Tulane 2.73 over Virginia Tech   6
5. Arizona 12/30 Toledo 2.62 over Wyoming   5
4. Orange 12/30 Georgia 2.55 over Florida State 4  
3. LA Bowl 12/16 Boise State 1.93 over UCLA   3
2. Famous Idaho Potato 12/23 Utah State 1.70 over Georgia State   2
1. Cure 12/16 Miami (O) 1.26 over Appalachian State   1
Totals
 441 420
Maximum Points Possible (perfect score=861) 452