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2014
College Football
Season Preview

Congrove Computer Rankings
Projected Final Regular Season
CCR Top 128
(Updated: 8/25/14)


These are the computer's Projected Final Rankings for the end of the regular season. They do not include the ACC, Big Ten, CUSA, MAC, Mountain West, PAC-12 and SEC Championship games or Bowl Games. These are NOT presented in order of team power. They reflect a combination of team power and W-L record.

College Football Poll.com's unique preseason forecast is based on the Congrove Computer Rankings which "plays" every game and projects what should happen based on a number of factors that include each teams' returning talent and difficulty of schedule.

Since its inception in 1993, the computer's preseason projections have correctly pegged at least one national title contestant 12 times (1993, 1995, 1996, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2007 and 2011).

It's not unusual for the computer to forecast undefeated regular season records for multiple teams or, as is the case this year, multiple 1-loss teams. Given the fact that each team plays less than 10% of the 128-team field, the argument could be made that multiple teams should well out-perform the field each and every season. However, math can not predict which teams will succumb to pressure, make too many mistakes, take the huge underdog opponent lightly, lose key players to injuries, or encounter bad luck.

That's why no one can claim a trophy until the games are played and won.

About the computer.

Click on the School link to see projected game-by-game results.


PROJECTED TEAM RANKINGS (End of Regular Season)
Rank School W-L
1. Florida State 12-0
2. Auburn 12-0
3. UCLA 12-0
4. Ohio State 12-0
5. Oklahoma 12-0
6. South Carolina 11-1
7. UCF 12-0
8. Oregon 11-1
9. Miami (Fla.) 11-1
10. Marshall 12-0
11. Fresno State 11-1
12. Texas A&M 10-2
13. USC 10-2
14. Louisiana-Lafayette 11-1
15. Bowling Green 11-1
16. Notre Dame 10-2
17. LSU 10-2
18. Michigan State 10-2
19. Northern Illinois 11-1
20. Georgia 10-2
21. Baylor 10-2
22. Minnesota 10-2
23. Toledo 10-2
24. Stanford 9-3
25. Navy 10-2
26. BYU 10-2
27. Cincinnati 10-2
28. UTSA 10-2
29. Clemson 9-3
30. Iowa 10-2
31. North Carolina 9-3
32. Washington 10-3
33. Mississippi 9-3
34. Duke 9-3
35. Syracuse 9-3
36. Houston 9-3
37. Kansas State 9-3
38. Alabama 8-4
39. Utah State 10-3
40. Central Michigan 9-3
41. Oklahoma State 8-4
42. Maryland 8-4
43. Michigan 8-4
44. Virginia Tech 8-4
45. Oregon State 8-4
46. Middle Tennessee 9-3
47. Texas Tech 8-4
48. San Jose State 8-4
49. Northwestern 8-4
50. Boise State 8-4
51. Louisiana-Monroe 9-3
52. Mississippi State 7-5
53. Rice 8-4
54. Texas 7-5
55. Missouri 7-5
56. Louisville 7-5
57. Rutgers 7-5
58. Buffalo 8-4
59. Arizona 7-5
60. East Carolina 7-5
61. North Texas 8-4
62. Ball State 7-5
63. Vanderbilt 7-5
64. Colorado State 7-5
Rank School W-L
65. Nebraska 6-6
66. Ohio 7-5
67. South Alabama 7-5
68. Tulane 6-6
69. Pittsburgh 6-6
70. Troy 7-5
71. Western Kentucky 6-6
72. Kent State 6-6
73. UNLV 6-7
74. Arizona State 5-7
75. Texas State 6-6
76. TCU 5-7
77. Florida 5-7
78. Nevada 5-7
79. Boston College 5-7
80. Wyoming 5-7
81. Tulsa 5-7
82. San Diego State 5-7
83. Memphis 5-7
84. Arkansas State 5-7
85. Army 4-8
86. Indiana 4-8
87. Wisconsin 4-8
88. Penn State 4-8
89. Washington State 4-8
90. Georgia Tech 4-8
91. Illinois 4-8
92. Colorado 4-8
93. Akron 4-8
94. N. C. State 4-8
95. Louisiana Tech 4-8
96. UAB 4-8
97. Idaho 4-8
98. West Virginia 3-9
99. SMU 3-9
100. Tennessee 3-9
101. FAU 3-9
102. Appalachian State 4-8
103. Air Force 3-9
104. USF 3-9
105. FIU 3-9
106. UTEP 3-9
107. Miami (O.) 3-9
108. New Mexico State 3-9
109. Virginia 2-10
110. Arkansas 2-10
111. Kansas 2-10
112. Wake Froest 2-10
113. New Mexico 2-10
114. Purdue 2-10
115. UConn 2-10
116. Southern Miss 2-10
117. Western Michigan 2-10
118. Old Dominion 2-10
119. Eastern Michigan 2-10
120. Georgia State 2-10
121. Utah 1-11
122. Iowa State 1-11
123. Kentucky 1-11
124. Temple 1-11
125. California 1-11
126. Hawaii 1-12
127. Georgia Southern 1-11
128. Massachusetts 0-12

CONFERENCE POWER RANKINGS
Rank Conference Power
1. SEC 75.74
2. PAC-12 73.93
3. Independents 73.34
4. Big Ten 73.31
5. ACC 73.17
6. Big 12 71.90
Rank Conference Power
7. American 66.37
8. MWC 65.25
9. MAC 61.95
10. CUSA 60.40
11. Sun Belt 54.58

DIVISION POWER RANKINGS
Rank Conference Power
1. SEC Western 79.33
2. Big Ten East 76.50
3. PAC-12 South 74.16
4. ACC Coastal 74.02
5. PAC-12 North 73.69
6. Independents 73.34
7. Big Ten West 72.82
8. ACC Atlantic 72.50
9. SEC Eastern 72.16
Rank Conference Power
10. Big 12 71.90
11. MWC West 66.51
12. American 66.37
13. MAC West 64.48
14. MWC Mountain 63.98
15. CUSA West 60.03
16. CUSA East 60.72
17. MAC East 59.78
18. Sun Belt 54.58


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