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2011
College Football
Season Preview

Congrove Computer Rankings
Projected Final Regular Season
CCR Top 120
(Updated: 8/30/11)


These are the computer's Projected Final Rankings for the end of the regular season. They do not include the ACC, Big 12, CUSA, MAC and SEC Championship games or Bowl Games. These are NOT presented in order of team power. They reflect a combination of team power and W-L record.

College Football Poll.com's unique preseason forecast is based on the Congrove Computer Rankings which "plays" every game and projects what should happen based on a number of factors that include each teams' returning talent and difficulty of schedule.

Since its inception in 1993, the computer's preseason projections have correctly pegged the exact national title match-up three times (1993, 1998, 2005), and at least one national title contestant 12 times in its 19-year history (1993, 1995, 1996, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2007 and wound up doing so this season). The team it picked to win the title has played in the title game seven times (1993, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2003, 2004, 2005), and won the title three times (1993, 1998, 1999).

It's not unusual for the computer to forecast undefeated regular season records for multiple teams. Given the fact that each team only plays about 10% of the 120-team field, the argument could be made that multiple teams should go undefeated each and every season. However, math can not predict which teams will succumb to pressure, make too many mistakes, take the huge underdog opponent lightly, lose key players to injuries, or encounter bad luck.

That's why no one can claim a trophy until the games are played and won.

About the computer.

Click on the School link to see projected game-by-game results.


PROJECTED TEAM RANKINGS (End of Regular Season)
Rank School W-L
1. Oklahoma 12-0
2. Alabama 12-0
3. Boise State 12-0
4. Nebraska 12-0
5. Virginia Tech 12-0
6. LSU 11-1
7. Texas A&M 11-1
8. Oregon 11-1
9. Florida State 11-1
10. Missouri 10-2
11. Notre Dame 11-1
12. Southern Miss 12-0
13. BYU 11-1
14. Wisconsin 10-2
15. South Carolina 10-2
16. Michigan State 10-2
17. Oklahoma State 9-3
18. Toledo 10-2
19. Air Force 10-2
20. Stanford 10-2
21. Arkansas 9-3
22. Miami (O.) 10-2
23. N. C. State 10-2
24. West Virginia 10-2
25. Mississippi State 9-3
26. Pittsburgh 10-2
27. Tulsa 9-3
28. Nevada 9-3
29. Houston 10-2
30. FIU 10-2
31. Northwestern 9-3
32. Utah 9-3
33. Northern Illinois 10-2
34. USC 9-3
35. San Diego State 9-3
36. Connecticut 9-3
37. Texas Tech 8-4
38. Ohio State 8-4
39. TCU 8-4
40. SMU 8-4
41. Arizona State 8-4
42. Illinois 8-4
43. UCF 8-4
44. USF 8-4
45. Louisiana-Monroe 8-4
46. Temple 8-4
47. North Carolina 8-4
48. Troy 8-4
49. Penn State 7-5
50. Washington 7-5
51. Idaho 8-4
52. Boston College 7-5
53. Michigan 7-5
54. Florida 7-5
55. Clemson 7-5
56. Ohio 8-4
57. Syracuse 7-5
58. Maryland 7-5
59. Kentucky 7-5
60. Auburn 6-6
Rank School W-L
61. Baylor 6-6
62. Georgia 6-6
63. Hawaii 7-6
64. Tennessee 6-6
65. Navy 6-6
66. Western Michigan 6-6
67. Utah State 6-6
68. Kent State 6-6
69. Texas 5-7
70. Fresno State 6-7
71. Wyoming 6-6
72. Arizona 5-7
73. Kansas State 5-7
74. Miami (Fla.) 5-7
75. Cincinnati 5-7
76. Iowa 5-7
77. Virginia 5-7
78. Purdue 5-7
79. Georgia Tech 5-7
80. California 4-8
81. UCLA 4-8
82. Rice 4-8
83. Rutgers 4-8
84. UAB 4-8
85. Marshall 4-8
86. Army 4-8
87. Colorado 4-9
88. Louisiana Tech 4-8
89. Central Michigan 4-8
90. Western Kentucky 4-8
91. Ball State 4-8
92. Arkansas State 4-8
93. Middle Tennessee 4-8
94. FAU 4-8
95. North Texas 4-8
96. Eastern Michigan 4-8
97. Oregon State 3-9
98. Louisville 3-9
99. Mississippi 3-9
100. Duke 3-9
101. UTEP 3-9
102. Tulane 3-10
103. New Mexico 3-9
104. Buffalo 3-9
105. Iowa State 2-10
106. Wake Forest 2-10
107. East Carolina 2-10
108. Minnesota 2-10
109. Washington State 2-10
110. San Jose State 2-10
111. Colorado State 2-10
112. New Mexico State 2-11
113. Kansas 1-11
114. Indiana 1-11
115. Vanderbilt 1-11
116. Bowling Green 1-11
117. Louisiana 1-11
118. UNLV 1-11
119. Akron 1-11
120. Memphis 0-12

CONFERENCE POWER RANKINGS
Rank Conference Power
1. Big 12 77.38
2. SEC 75.47
3. Big Ten 72.77
4. Independents 71.54
5. PAC-12 71.09
6. ACC 70.82
Rank Conference Power
7. Big East 69.67
8. Mountain West 67.23
9. CUSA 64.93
10. WAC 64.17
11. MAC 61.71
12. Sun Belt 60.11

DIVISION POWER RANKINGS
Rank Conference Power
1. SEC West 80.81
2. Big 12 77.38
3. Big Ten Legends 73.77
4. ACC Atlantic 72.77
5. Big Ten Leaders 71.76
6. Independents 71.54
7. PAC-12 South 71.21
8. PAC-12 North 70.97
9. SEC East 70.09
Rank Conference Power
10. Big East 69.77
11. ACC Coastal 68.87
12. CUSA West 68.06
13. Mountain West 67.23
14. WAC 64.17
15. MAC West 64.12
16. CUSA East 61.79
17. Sun Belt 60.11
18. MAC East 59.64