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College Football Season

Nos. 2, 3, 14, 15, 17, 20, 23, 24 All Fall

Stanford, Oklahoma, Michigan, Georgia, Washington, Florida, Arizona, Northwestern Take Losses

by Dave Congrove
October 13, 2013

It wasn't necessarily a huge upset weekend even though 8 of the top 24 teams in the Congrove Computer Rankings went down to defeat.

Stanford fell 27-21 at Utah; Oklahoma was soundly defeated 36-20 by Texas; Michigan went 4 overtimes before losing 43-40 at Penn State; Georgia was outscored 14-0 down the stretch in a 41-26 home loss to Missouri; Washington was blanked 14-0 in the 4th in a 45-24 home loss to Oregon; Florida was done-in by a 14-0 2nd quarter in its 17-6 loss at LSU; Arizona's rally from a 28-3 deficit fell short in a 38-31 loss at USC; and Northwestern was never a threat in a 31-6 loss at Wisconsin.

Stanford, Georgia, Oklahoma, Arizona and Michigan were all favored to win by the Congrove Computer Rankings. Florida, Washington and Northwestern were all expected to lose.

Of the 8 ranked losers, only three were previously unbeaten - Stanford, Oklahoma and Michigan. Both Washington and Northwestern lost their second straight game as the Huskies were beaten last week 31-28 by Oregon and the Wildcats fell 40-30 to Ohio State.

By the math, the losses by the Cardinal, Bulldogs and Sooners were the most unexpected as the computer favored Stanford by 16.50, Georgia by 10.52, and Oklahoma by 7.84. Arizona was only a 1.45 pick while Michigan was getting a mere 0.28-point edge at the Nittany Lions.

The results caused a massive shake-up in the computer's Top 25 as Georgia, Washington, Florida, Arizona and Northwestern fell completely out. The top 5 a week ago had Oregon leading Stanford, Oklahoma, Baylor and Ohio State. The new top 5 keeps Oregon at the top, followed by Alabama, Baylor, Ohio State and Florida State.

There were some other surprising results that flew under the radar, not the least of which was Tulane improving to 3-0 in Conference USA with a 36-33 overtime upset of East Carolina. And in the MAC, a 4-1 Ohio Bobcats team 26-23 at home by a 2-4 Central Michigan squad that was a 2-touchdown underdog.

Maybe not as surprising was USC's 38-31 win over Arizona in the Trojans' first game since the firing of Lane Kiffin as head coach. In fact, USC came out with enthusiasm to spare en route to an early 28-3 lead before having to hold off a late surge by the Wildcats.

The weekend began with 17 undefeated teams and ended with 14. The unbeaten list contains Alabama, Baylor, Clemson, Florida State, Fresno State, Houston, Louisville, Miami (Fla.), Missouri, Northern Illinois, Ohio State, Oregon, Texas Tech and UCLA.

Massachusetts was the only team to finally claims it first victory, knocking off still winless Miami (Ohio) 17-10. The 8 teams still in search of a victory are Connecticut, Georgia State, Hawaii, Miami (Ohio) New Mexico State, Southern Miss, Temple and Western Michigan.

The computer was 41-10 in picking winners over the weekend, and a solid 30-20 against the opening line.'s Mike Mitchell was 15-1 to raise his Feature Picks record to 95-9 for the year (he's 58-46 against the spread). The computer was also 4-3 with this week's upset winner picks and 4-3 ATS on those games.

FBS vs. FCS:
Auburn blasted Western Carolina 62-3 in the only FBS vs. FCS matchup this week.

FBS teams have lost 14 such matchups this season after losing just 10 all of last year. After this week's contest, 14 FBS-FCS games still remain to be played.

The FBS is 82-14 (.854) this season vs. the FCS, and 818-79 (.912) in such matchups since 2003.

106 FBS schools scheduled a total of 110 games against FCS foes this year. Clemson and Georgia Tech each scheduled two such schools. FBS newcomer Georgia State scheduled 3 FCS teams and lost to each of them.

Here are the results of the FBS losses to FCS schools this season:
8/29: Towson 33, Connecticut 18
8/29: Southern Utah 22, South Alabama 21
8/30: Samford 31, Georgia State 21
8/30: North Dakota State 24, Kansas State 21
8/31: Northern Iowa 28, Iowa State 20
8/31: Eastern Washington 49, Oregon State 46
8/31: Eastern Illinois 40, San Diego State 18
8/31: McNeese State 53, USF 21
9/7: UT-Chattanooga 42, Georgia State 14
9/7: Maine 24, Massachusetts 14
9/7: Nicholls State 27, Western Michigan 23.
9/14: Fordham 30, Temple 29
9/14: Bethune-Cookman 34, FIU 13
9/21: Jacksonville State 32, Georgia State 26 (OT)

Eastern Washington, McNeese State and North Dakota State also had wins vs. FBS teams last year.

Ohio State - Won 18 straight overall. Idle.

Northern Illinois - Won 23 straight at home and 19 straight vs. conference foes. Won 27-20 vs. Akron on Saturday.

LSU - Won 44 straight regular season nonconference games. Won 17-6 vs. Florida on Saturday.

Michigan - Won 18 straight home games. Lost 43-40 in 4 OT's at Penn State on Saturday.

Oregon - Won 18 straight road games. Won 45-24 at Washington on Saturday.

Southern Miss - Lost 17 straight overall. Idle.

New Mexico State - Lost 17 straight overall. Idle.

Akron - Lost 30 straight road games, 28 straight FBS games and 19 straight conference games (MAC). Lost 27-20 at Northern Illinois on Saturday.

Kansas - Lost 23 straight conference games and 21 straight road games. Lost 27-17 at TCU on Saturday.


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