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Stay For Ole Miss On Top Of Computer Rankings Will Be Brief

Utah edges USC on last-second touchdown

by Dave Congrove
October 26, 2014

A 13-play, 95-yard march in the 4th quarter led to Logan Stokes' first career catch for a 3-yard TD with 5:07 remaining and LSU knocked off previously undefeated Ole Miss 10-7. The Rebels headed into the weekend ranked No. 1 in the Congrove Computer Rankings of all 128 FBS teams. The Rebels drove to the LSU 25 with 9 seconds left, but a delay of game penalty moved the ball back 5 yards and Bo Wallace's pass was intercepted near the goal line on the ensuing play.

26th-ranked Utah scored on a 1-yard pass with 6 seconds left to edge No. 18 USC 24-21. It was the Trojans' first trip to Salt Lake City since 1917. The loss dropped Southern California (5-3, 4-2) from 1st to 5th in the PAC-12 South standings while the Utes took a share of first.

A couple of ranked teams narrowly avoided the upset as Ohio State and UCLA were each taken to double-overtime by double-digit underdogs.

The Buckeyes eked out a 31-24 win at Happy Valley after giving away a 17-0 halftime lead. Penn State scored 24 unanswered points in the 2nd half and overtime to take a 24-17 lead into the bottom of the first OT.

Likewise, Colorado scored 17 straight in the 4th quarter to overcome a 31-14 difference and forced OT on a field goal with 36 seconds left. But the Buffs only managed 2 more field goals in the extra sessions and UCLA secured the 40-37 win on Brett Hundley's 8-yard QB keeper.

Late games include No. 26 Utah hosting 18th-ranked USC. The Trojans have dominated the series 9-3 and the computer likes them by 8.11 points to get their 4th straight win over the Utes.

No. 19 Arizona State is a 1.34-point computer underdog as the Sun Devils head to a reeling Washington Huskies squad that has lost 2 of its last 3 (to Stanford and Oregon) after a 4-0 start. The Huskies have lost 8 straight in the series, the longest streak for either team in the 30-game history of the rivalry. ASU leads the series 17-13.

The lightest schedule of the year had just 49 games on the agenda while 30 schools, including 6 of the top 25, took a breather.

UTSA managed just 2 first downs and 70 yards of total offense in a 34-0 home loss to mighty UTEP. The Roadrunners were 9-1/2-point favorites over the winning Miners.

These were the 5 largest margins projected by the computer this week:
East Carolina 28.86 over UConn (Thursday)
Oregon 26.62 over California (Friday)
Marshall by 24.04 over FAU
Northern Illinois 22.34 over Eastern Michigan
Toledo 21.42 over UMass

All 5 teams won, but all were closer than projected. Marshall pulled away late for a 19-point win, while Oregon beat Cal by 18. NIU fended off EMU by 11, while ECU beat UConn by 10 and Toledo trumped UMass by 7.

These were the 5 closest computer projections:
Boise State 0.54 over BYU
Wisconsin 0.61 over Maryland
Washington 1.34 over Arizona State
Miami (FL) 1.50 over Virginia Tech
Kent State 2.08 over Miami (O)

In the above games, Boise, Wisconsin and Miami (FL) turned their affairs into romps. The Broncos trampled the Cougars 55-30, Wisconsin badgered the Turtles 52-7, and Miami stormed Virginia Tech 30-6. Kent State actually fell to Miami (O) 10-3. Washington and ASU were still playing at the time this article was filed.

Charlie Weis, June Jones and Jeff Quinn are the early departures in the head coaching ranks.

Jones announced on September 8 that he was resigning as the head coach of SMU.

Weis was fired from Kansas on September 28.

On October 13, Buffalo fired head coach Jeff Quinn.

On October 5, Larry Blakeney announced he will retire from Troy at the end of the season.

Complete news on Coaching Changes here.

FBS vs. FCS:
None of this week's games pitted FBS schools against FCS members.

FBS teams are 92-8 (.920) vs. the FCS on the season, and have a cumulative record of 923-89 (.912) since 2003.

Here are the results from all of this season's FBS losses to FCS schools:
8/30: Bethune-Cookman 14, FIU 12
8/30: North Dakota State 31, Iowa State 14
9/6: Eastern Kentucky 17, Miami (Ohio) 10
9/13: Indiana State 27, Ball State 20
9/13: Abilene Christian 38, Troy 35
9/20: NW State (La.) 30, Louisiana Tech 27
9/27: Yale 49, Army 43 (OT)
10/11: Liberty 55, Appalachian State 48 (OT)

North Dakota State's win over Iowa State on opening weekend was the 5th straight over a FBS team for the three-time defending FCS champions. Since 2010, NDSU has won road games at Kansas, Minnesota, Colorado State, Kansas State, and now Iowa State. Conversely, Iowa State has lost 2 straight to FCS schools after opening last season with a loss to Northern Iowa.

Bethune-Cookman's win over FIU on opening weekend was its second straight over the Golden Panthers.

This year, 103 FBS schools have scheduled a total of 108 games against FCS foes. Appalachian State, Army, Ball State, Buffalo and FIU each play 2 such games.

Florida State - 23-game winning streak (FBS longest), 17-game conference winning streak (FBS longest). Idle

Auburn - Won 14 straight home games (tied for FBS longest). Won 42-35 at home over South Carolina on Saturday.

Baylor - Won 13 straight home games (FBS second-longest). Idle.

Ohio State - Won 11 straight road games (FBS longest). Won 31-24 in double-OT at Penn State on Saturday.

LSU - Won 49 straight regular season nonconference games (FBS longest). Won 10-7 at home over Ole Miss on Saturday.

SMU - Lost 9 straight overall (FBS longest). Lost 48-10 at home to Memphis on Saturday.

Kansas - Lost 27 straight road games (FBS longest). Idle.

Arkansas - Lost 16 straight conference games (FBS longest). Won 45-17 at home over UAB on Saturday.

10/26: Stay For Ole Miss On Top Of Computer Rankings Will Be Brief
10/19: Baylor Bounced By WVU; Notre Dame No(le) Longer Undefeated
10/12: The Mississippi's Keep On Rollin'; Things Get Whacky In Waco
10/05: Weekend Of Insanity Sees 11 Teams In Top 25 Fall
09/28: Missouri Sends South Carolina's See-Saw Season Back Down
09/21: Florida State Prevails In OT As Winston Sits; Mississippi State Upsets LSU
09/14: South Carolina Outlasts Georgia; Boston College Upsets USC
09/07: Virginia Tech Finishes "Bash Big Ten" Day
09/01: FSU and LSU Survive On Saturday; Aggies Get One Hilluva Win On Thursday


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