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2008 Season Overachievers and Underperformers

by Mike Mitchell
December 14, 2008

Each season, certain teams perform far better than expected. Others do much worse.

Every team on the overachiever list, with the exception of Baylor, is headed to a bowl game. Oklahoma and Florida, the BCS title game contenders, rank 2nd and 4th on the over-achiever list.

Fresno State and Kansas are the only teams from the underperformers list that are headed to bowl games, and four of those teams will have a different head coach next season (Miami, Auburn, Washington, Wyoming).

Here is a look at the biggest Overachievers and Underperformers of 2008. The information was gleaned from comparing the power rating of each team in the preseason, to their actual power rating at the end of the regular season, according to the Congrove Computer Rankings (CCR Top 120).

TOP 10 OVERACHIEVERS:
Pos. Team Preseason
Power
Postseason
Power
Gain
1. Mississippi 60.00 75.46 15.46
2. Oklahoma 82.45 94.87 12.42
3. Iowa 64.49 76.58 12.09
4. Florida 84.38 96.23 11.85
5. Baylor 53.10 64.41 11.30
6. Penn State 77.36 87.54 10.18
7. Alabama 74.75 84.38 9.62
8. N.C. State 54.01 63.45 9.44
9. Arizona 67.60 76.89 9.29
10. Boise State 75.04 83.70 8.66

TOP 10 UNDERPERFORMERS:
Pos. Team Preseason
Power
Postseason
Power
Loss
1. Washington State 61.58 46,34 -15.23
2. Indiana 66.82 54.99 -11.83
3. Tulane 58.56 46.93 -11.62
4. Washington 61.37 51.07 -10.31
5. Fresno State 75.54 65.31 -10.23
6. Central Florida 70.93 60.85 -10.08
7. Miami (Ohio) 62.50 52.65 -9.86
8. Auburn 80.04 70.77 -9.27
9. Kansas 85.04 76.04 -9.00
10. Wyoming 62.97 54.61 -8.36

See 2007 Overachievers and Underperformers.