Preview: Texas at Texas Tech
September 13, 2010
This is one of five battles this week between teams that are highly-ranked in the CCR Top 120. Texas enters the game at No. 2 while Texas Tech comes in at No. 13.
Texas has won 12 straight conference games and 18 straight non-bowl games since losing to Texas Tech on Nov. 1, 2008.
The computer favors Texas by 9.20 points, though the schools have split the last 18 meetings in Lubbock.
Under first year head coach Tommy Tuberville, the Red Raiders are 2-0 with wins over SMU (35-27) and New Mexico (52-17). The Longhorns are also 2-0 with victories over Rice (34-17) and Wyoming (34-7).
As evidenced by those scores, neither team has reached its stride on either side of the ball. Texas Tech is tied for 3rd in the Big 12 in points per game at 43.5 while Texas ranks 8th at 34.0 per game. The Red Raiders are just 6th in total offense while the Longhorns rank 9th. Texas is 6th in rushing and Texas Tech ranks 10th.
Any glaring difference comes on defense where Texas Tech is in a next-to-last place tie with Kansas State, allowing 380 yards per game. Texas ranks 1st by giving up just 238 yards per game.
Texas Tech brings the experienced QB to the table. Tyler Potts has completed 64.4% of his throws for 652 yards, 7 TD's and 0 INT's. Texas' Garrett Gilbert has connected on 62.1% of his throws for 394 yards and just 1 TD with 0 INT's.
The computer was 11-1 on its regular season Texas game predictions a year ago and is 2-0 this year. However, it is just 0-2 ATS (against the spread) with the 'Horns this season after going 7-5 a year ago. The computer has forecasted the outright winner in 74 of the last 84 Texas games and 63 of the last 84 Texas Tech games. So far this season, the computer is 2-0 straight up and ATS this season with Red Raiders games.
The game will kick off at 8 p.m. (ET) on ABC. The network will also be broadcasting the Notre Dame-Michigan State game at that time so check local listings for the game in your area.