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2008 Bowls


FEATURE PICKS ARCHIVES
Week 1: 8/28-9/1
Week 2: 9/4-9/6
Week 3: 9/11-9/13
Week 4: 9/17-9/20
Week 5: 9/25-9/27
Week 6: 9/30-10/4
Week 7: 10/7-10/11
Week 8: 10/16-10/18
Week 9: 10/21-10/26
Week 10: 10/28-11/2
Week 11: 11/4-11/8
Week 12: 11/11-11/15
Week 13: 11/18-11/22
Week 14: 11/25-11/29
Week 15: 12/3-12/6
Week 16: Bowls
Past Season Archives: 2007 | 2008

EASY PICKINS:
The computer likes the favorite with room to spare.
2008 Regular Season: 79-24 SU (.767), 57-46 ATS (.553)
2008 Bowls: 4-2 SU (.667), 2-4 ATS (.333)

Sunday, December 21st
NEW ORLEANS BOWL
Troy (-4) by 6.82 over Southern Miss -
Both teams manhandled Louisiana-Lafayette, but the Trojans won by 45 and the Golden Eagles won by 30. Troy beat Arkansas State by 26, and So. Miss did so by 3. Southern Miss lost to Auburn by 14, and Troy lost to LSU by 9 after letting a huge lead slip away. Furthermore, the computer is a ridiculous 10-1 ATS with Troy this year.
Southern Miss won 30-27 in overtime. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.

Saturday, December 27th
EMERALD BOWL
California (-7) by 13.10 over Miami, Fla. -
The computer likes the Bears by nearly double the spread which makes this game impossible to ignore. Virginia Tech and Wake Forest were Miami's most-impressive wins.
California won 24-17. The computer won SU, lost ATS.

Wednesday, December 31st
SUN BOWL Oregon State (-3) by 4.34 over Pitt - The Beavers have won 4 straight bowl games, and 5 of the last 6. Pitt won 38-13 when these teams met in the 2002 Insight Bowl. The computer was 8-4 ATS with the Beavers in the regular season, 7-5 with the Panthers.
Oregon State won 3-0. The computer won SU, lost ATS.

MUSIC CITY BOWL
Boston College (-3.5) by 6.58 over Vanderbilt -
BC has won 8 straight bowl games, and 12 of its' last 14. Vanderbilt hasn't even been to a bowl game since 1982, and enjoyed its' only bowl win in 1955. There is little reason to doubt the Eagles, even if this game is in Vandy's backyard.
Vanderbilt won 16-14. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.

INSIGHT BOWL
Kansas (-10) by 15.51 over Minnesota -
Virtually everyone seems to agree that this should be a rout. The Golden Gophers ended the season on a 4-game losing streak while the Jayhawks closed with an upset of Missouri.
Kansas won 42-21. The computer won SU, won ATS.

Thursday, January 1st
OUTBACK BOWL
Iowa (-3) by 5.44 over South Carolina -
Iowa closed strong with victories in 5 of its' last 6 games, and handed Penn State its' only loss of the year.
Iowa won 31-10. The computer won SU, won ATS.



HOLD YOUR HORSES:
The computer likes the favorite, but by fewer points than the oddsmakers.
2008 Regular Season: 68-17 SU (.800), 44-41 ATS (.518)
2008 Bowls: 2-1 SU (.667), 2-1 ATS (.667)

Thursday, January 1st
ROSE BOWL
USC (-10) by 6.20 over Penn State -
The Nittany Lions lost one game by one point, and yet they get no respect from the oddsmakers in this game. Both of these teams have excellent bowl records - Penn State is 26-12-2, while USC is 29-16.
USC won 38-24. The computer won SU, lost ATS.

Friday, January 2nd
SUGAR BOWL
Alabama (-10.5) by 3.45 over Utah -
The Utes are not the 2008 version of 2007's Hawaii. Don't forget that Utah has been on the BCS bowl stage more recently than the Tide - Utah beat Pittsburgh 35-7 in the 2004 Fiesta, while 'Bama's last appearance was the '99 Orange. The Utes have won 7 consecutive bowl games, and 11-of-14 in their history.
Utah won 31-17. The computer lost SU, won ATS.

Monday, January 5th
FIESTA BOWL
Texas (-9.5) by 1.48 over Ohio State -
The Buckeyes won 8 of their last 9 games, and the only loss in that stretch was a 13-7 setback to Penn State. The Longhorns had some issues against the other strong teams in the Big 12 - a loss to Texas Tech in which they were getting blown out for much of the game, and a narrow win over Oklahoma State. Of course, the victory over Oklahoma is even more impressive now than it was then.
Texas won 24-21. The computer won SU, won ATS.



UPSETS:
The computer likes the underdog as the outright winner. I don't select the games in this category. Instead, we list every upset projected by the computer.
2008 Regular Season: 36-49 SU (.424), 42-43 ATS (.494)
2008 Bowls: 5-2 SU (.714), 6-1 ATS (.857)

Tuesday, December 23rd
POINSETTIA BOWL
Boise State by 1.87 over Tcu (-2.5) -
The computer was 7-4 ATS with Boise State, 6-5 with TCU. It was 11-1 SU with the Broncos, 9-3 with the Horned Frogs.
TCU won 17-16. The computer lost SU, won ATS.

Saturday, December 27th
MEINKE CAR CARE BOWL
West Virginia by 9.25 over North Carolina (-1) -
This is one of three games in this "Upset" category that have a huge difference between the "experts" and the computer (Oregon-Oklahoma State and LSU-Georgia Tech are the others). I don't necessarily have a problem with the computer favoring WVU, but UNC seemed to play above expectations for much of the year while the Mountaineers failed to meet expectations. Both teams are 8-4 and the computer was 7-4 ATS with both schools. This is the first bowl appearance for the Tar Heels since 2004.
West Virginia won 31-30. The computer won SU, won ATS.

Tuesday, December 30th
HOLIDAY BOWL
Oregon by 6.94 over Oklahoma State (-3.5) -
The experts like Oklahoma State by a field goal, the computer likes Oregon by a touchdown. The computer was 11-1 SU with the Cowboys, 9-3 on the Ducks.
Oregon won 42-31. The computer won SU, won ATS.

TEXAS BOWL
Western Michigan by 2.75 over Rice (-3) -
The computer was 9-3 SU with both schools. The Owls were a surprise this year, turning in a 9-3 campaign after being picked to go 3-9. The Broncos performed on a par with expectations as they finished 9-3 after being forecasted to go 8-4.
Rice won 38-14. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.

Wednesday, December 31st
CHICK-FIL-A BOWL
LSU by 7 over Georgia Tech (-3.5) -
Georgia whipped LSU and lost to Georgia Tech. That, more than anything, explains why they like Georgia Tech. But don't sell Les Miles short on bowl preparation - he is 3-0 at LSU. Georgia Tech head coach Paul Johnson was 2-3 at Navy.
LSU won 38-3. The computer won SU, won ATS.

Friday, January 2nd
LIBERTY BOWL
Kentucky by 0.08 over East Carolina (-2) -
It's not the Music City Bowl again, but Kentucky can't get out of Tennessee for a bowl game. After three appearances in Nashville (1999, 2006, 2007), the Wildcats move west to Memphis. The computer was 10-2 SU with Kentucky, 6-6 with the up-and-down Pirates.
Kentucky won 25-19. The computer won SU, won ATS.

Tuesday, January 6th
GMAC BOWL
Tulsa by 0.38 over Ball State (-2.5) -
After an 8-0 start, Tulsa lost three of its' last five games. The Golden Hurricane fell to East Carolina in the CUSA title game by committing 7 turnovers, including 5 INT's by the usually reliable David Johnson. Ball State stumbled in the MAC title game with the assistance of some horrible replay rulings. As the close spreads indicate, everyone expects this to be an interesting game.
Tulsa won 45-13. The computer won SU, won ATS.