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12/8/12-12/8/12


FEATURE PICKS ARCHIVES
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Each week, Mike Mitchell examines the computer's picks and selects those which he believes have the best chance of being correct. Lines in parenthesis are the opening lines as reported at docsports.com. Later lines are used in the event of a "pick 'em" opening. The Congrove Computer Rankings' pick is shown outside the parenthesis. The HOME TEAM is in CAPS. An explanation of how the computer's SU and ATS wins and losses are scored can be found at Weekly Picks Help.


EASY PICKINS:
The computer likes the favorite with room to spare.
2011 Regular Season: 90-26 SU (.776), 63-53 ATS (.543)
2012 Regular Season: 94-27 SU (.777), 67-54 ATS (.554)
This Week: 0-0 SU (.000), 0-0 ATS (.000)
PAST RECORDS

Note: Army-Navy is the only game this week. The line opened in favor of Navy (-9) and the computer says Navy (-4.92). Therefore, that game would not qualify for the Easy Pickins category.


HOLD YOUR HORSES:
The computer likes the favorite, but by fewer points than the oddsmakers.
2011 Regular Season: 67-19 SU (.779), 40-46 ATS (.465)
2012 Regular Season: 51-17 SU (.750), 42-26 ATS (.618)
This Week: 0-0 SU (.000), 0-0 ATS (.000)
PAST RECORDS

Note: Army-Navy is the only game this week. The line opened in favor of Navy (-9) and the computer says Navy (-4.92). That game would qualify for the Hold Your Horses category, but Mike Mitchell points out that Navy has flipped from a 7-point computer underdog in the preseason to a nearly 5-point favorite now. That puts the trend heavily in favor of Navy exceeding the 9-point line.


UPSETS:
The computer likes the underdog as the outright winner. I don't select the games in this category. Instead, we list every upset projected by the computer.
2011 Regular Season: 24-37 SU (.393), 29-32 ATS (.475)
2012 Regular Season: 36-50 SU (.419), 42-44 ATS (.488)
This Week: 0-0 SU (.000), 0-0 ATS (.000)
PAST RECORDS

Note: Army-Navy is the only game this week. The line opened in favor of Navy (-9) and the computer says Navy (-4.92). Therefore, that game would not qualify as an outright upset pick.


ODDS/PICKS
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