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11/29/07-12/1/07


FEATURE PICKS ARCHIVES
Week 4: 9/20-9/22
Week 5: 9/27-9/29
Week 6: 10/2-10/7
Week 7: 10/10-10/14
Week 8: 10/18-10/21
Week 9: 10/25-10/28
Week 10: 11/1-11/4
Week 11: 11/6-11/10
Week 12: 11/13-11/17
Week 13: 11/20-11/24
Week 14: 11/29-12/1
Week 15: Bowls
Archiving began in Week 4 in the 2007 Season.

EASY PICKINS:
The computer likes the favorite with room to spare.
2007 Regular Season: 62-19 SU (.765), 41-40 ATS (.506)
Last Week: 5-0 SU (1.000), 3-2 ATS (.600)
This Week: 3-0 SU (1.000), 2-1 ATS (.667)

Thursday, November 29th
LOUISVILLE (-2.5) by 2.96 over Rutgers -
Louisville looks to give QB Brian Brohm a win at home in what could be his last game. The Cardinals would improve to 6-6 with a win, but that's no guarantee of a bowl berth.
Louisville won 41-38. The computer won SU, won ATS.

Friday, November 30th
Fresno State (-13.5) by 14.18 over NEW MEXICO STATE -
The computer's records are too good with these teams - 10-1 SU, 7-3 ATS with Fresno State, and 11-1 SU, 7-3 ATS with NMSU. The Bulldogs have won 6 of their last 8 and the setbacks were to Hawaii and Boise State. The Aggies have dropped four in-a-row.
Fresno State won 30-23. The computer won SU, lost ATS.

Saturday, December 1st
Central Michigan (-4) by 6.19 over Miami (Ohio) -
An interesting matchup from the perspective that Miami has no offense and Central Michigan has no defense. Miami ranks 2nd in the conference in defense, but just 6th on offense (76th nationally). The RedHawks are 12th in the MAC in point production. Meanwhile, the Chippewas are 2nd in the conference in total offense (less than 1 yard per game behind league-leader Toledo). In total defense, CMU ranks last in the MAC and 109th in the country.
Central Michigan won 35-10. The computer won SU, won ATS.




HOLD YOUR HORSES:
The computer likes the favorite, but by fewer points than the oddsmakers.
2007 Regular Season: 62-13 SU (.827), 41-34 ATS (.547)
Last Week: 2-0 SU (1.000), 2-0 ATS (1.000)
This Week: 3-0 SU (1.000), 2-1 ATS (.667)

Saturday, December 1st
ARIZONA STATE (-7) by 5.58 over Arizona -
Arizona State has won four of the last five Territorial Cup meetings and has the home-field advantage. But Arizona is playing for a last chance at bowl eligibility and is riding a 3-game winning streak with victories over Washington, UCLA and Oregon. Arizona has also had two full weeks to prepare for the showdown. The computer is 8-3 SU and 7-4 ATS with the Sun Devils. It's 7-4 SU and 8-2 ATS with the Wildcats.
Arizona State won 20-17. The computer won SU, won ATS.

Navy (-14) by 8.62 over Army (at Baltimore) - There is a relatively large difference in the line and the computer spread of over five points. The computer won with Navy in a similar situation two weeks ago when it picked the Midshipmen to come up short on a 15.5-point spread at home against Northern Illinois (The computer pick was just under 9 points and Navy won by 11). Army lost last year by 12 when Navy was favored by 20.5.
Navy won 38-3. The computer won SU, lost ATS.

HAWAII (-14) by 12.04 Washington - I'm 3-2 this season when picking Hawaii not to cover and have hit 3 of the last 4. Don't forget that Washington defeated Boise State 24-10 in the second week of the season and this is Hawaii's only game all year against a team from one of the six so-called "power" conferences. Hawaii beat Boise State 39-27 last week to clinch the WAC title. The Warriors will be out to prove their worth to the BCS, but the Huskies will be fighting to end the season on an up-note after last week's upset loss to Washington State in the Apple Cup.
Hawaii won 35-28. The computer won SU, won ATS.




UPSETS:
The computer likes the underdog as the outright winner. I don't select the games in this category. Instead, every projected upset is listed.
2007 Regular Season: 34-42 SU (.447), 42-34 ATS (.553)
Last Week: 3-2 SU (.600), 3-2 ATS (.600)
This Week: 0-0 SU (.000), 0-0 ATS (.000)

No Upset Picks This Week



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