Saturday, October 18th
ARIZONA by 0.83 over California (-2) - Can the WIldcats rebound from a 24-23 loss at Stanford. Cal lost at Maryland on its' last road trip. The WIldcats are 3-0 at home this season where they have won five straight.
Arizona won 42-27. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Arkansas State by 0.24 over LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE (-4.5) - The home team has won the last eight meetings in this series, a stat that doesn't bode well for this upset pick. The Red Wolves were 1.57-point computer underdogs in the preseason so the trend is pointing toward ASU.
Louisiana-Lafayette won 28-23. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.
CLEMSON by 10.80 over Georgia Tech (-2.5) - There is absolutely no way to measure the impact of a head coach and offensive coordinator leaving in midseason. Something tells me, however, that the Tigers will rally around the shake-up and possibly play their best game of the year.
Georgia Tech won 21-17. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.
Connecticut by 0.57 over RUTGERS (-3) - It's hard to fathom a 1-5 team being favored over a 5-1 team, especially when that 1-5 team hasn't even defeated a FBS team this season.
Rutgers won 12-10. The computer lost SU, won ATS.
Wisconsin by 2.28 over IOWA (-3.5) - The Hawkeyes broke a three-game losing streak last Saturday at Indiana. Meanwhile, Wisconsin has lost three straight with the last two coming at home against Ohio State and Penn State. It's the Badgers' first 3-game losing streak since the end of the 2004 season, and they haven't lost four in-a-row since 1996.
Iowa won 38-16. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.
NEW MEXICO STATE by 0.89 over San Jose State (-2.5) - The Aggies sprung 48 points on Nevada in Reno last week and have tallied 151 over their last four games.
San Jose State won 31-14. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.
VIRGINIA by 0.11 over North Carolina (-5.5) - I have a hard time buying this one, but Virginia is certainly looking like a much different team lately with back-to-back easy home wins over Maryland and East Carolina when it was the underdog in both.
Virginia won 16-13 in OT. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Purdue by 2.25 over NORTHWESTERN (-4) - Northwestern was thrown off the unbeaten list last week in a 37-20 home loss to Michigan State. Purdue limps in with a 2-4 record and its' signature win is over Central Michigan.
Northwestern won 48-26. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.