Saturday, October 19
ALABAMA (-28) by 28.36 over Arkansas - The Razorbacks were blown out 52-7 at home by South Carolina last week, and by 20 at a not-so-great Florida team the week before that. The 'Bama offense appears to be getting its wheels and should roll easily over Arkansas. The computer trend puts this game at 33+ in favor of Nick Saban's men.
Alabama won 52-0. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Ohio (-17) by 18.86 over EASTERN MICHIGAN - The Bobcats are coming off an inexplicable 26-23 loss at home vs. Central Michigan, but EMU is 1-5 and ranked 115th in the computer rankings and allows 40 points per game with the MAC's worst defense. Ohio has the conference's No. 2 defense and 5th-best offense. The computer's margin for this game has risen by over 4 points since the preseason.
Ohio won 56-28. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Oklahoma (-23.5) by 34.78 over KANSAS - Kansas has the conference's worst offense and No. 7 defense. The Sooners rank 1st in the Big 12 on defense and 5th on offense. And let's not forget that the Jayhawks have lost 23 straight conference games or that Oklahoma has won 8 straight meetings by an average of 25.5 points.
Oklahoma won 34-19. The computer won SU, lost ATS.
North Texas (-4.5) by 14.47 over LOUISIANA TECH - The Mean Green have knocked off a good Ball State squad and manhandled Middle Tennessee last week. The lone win for the Bulldogs came last week versus a horrible UTEP team and only managed to win that game by 3.
North Texas won 28-13. The computer won SU, won ATS.
NOTRE DAME (-1.5) by 12.43 over Southern California - A 1.5-point line feels like an early Christmas present and an opportunity for some payback by the Irish which are looking for their second straight win over the Trojans. The teams have split the last 4 meetings, though USC has taken 9 of the last 11.
Notre Dame won 14-10. The computer won SU, won ATS.
MEMPHIS (-2.5) by 5.77 over Southern Methodist - The Tigers were a slight underdog in the preseason and are now favored by nearly a touchdown. Memphis ranks 3rd in the American Athletic Conference while SMU ranks 9th. The Mustangs get 80% of their offense through the air and Memphis has allowed just 5 TD passes all season.
SMU won 34-29. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.
TOLEDO (-6.5) by 9.04 over Navy - The Rockets have been around a 9-point computer favorite over Navy since preseason. The Middies' offense is not only one-dimensional, but is also less potent than in years past. Navy was held to just 107 yards on the ground in a 19-7 loss at Western Kentucky and Duke just blasted Navy 35-7 last week. Toledo is also coming off a bye week which means the MAC"s 2nd-best run defense team will have had two weeks to prep for this game.
Navy won 45-44 in 2 OT's. The computer won SU, lost ATS.