Thursday, October 16
Virginia Tech (-2) by 3.62 over PITTSBURGH - The Panthers have lost 3 straight to Iowa, Akron and Virginia. The Hokies have appeared more times on ESPN Thursday night than any other school and are 20-7 in those games. They will also play next Thursday night on ESPN for a home game vs. Miami.
Pittsburgh won 21-16. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.
Friday, October 17
HOUSTON (-6.5) by 14.25 over Temple - Houston has played the tougher schedule and played well since its season-opening loss to UTSA. The Cougars were favored by 22.69 in the preseason so the computer spread has dropped nearly 8 points. Temple's 3 FBS wins have come against teams that have a total of 2 FBS victories.
Houston won 31-10. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Saturday, October 18
Georgia (-3) by 11.13 over ARKANSAS (at Little Rock) - These are the top two rushing offenses in the SEC. The most telling stat may be that Georgia is +9 in turnover margin and Arkansas is +1. The 34-0 win at Missouri by the 'Dawgs was about as dominating as it gets. However, Georgia was a preseason computer favorite in this contest by 16.74.
Georgia won 45-32. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Ucla (-7.5) by 22.14 over CALIFORNIA - The computer had the Bruins winning by 32 points in the preseason and the trend line is now just 13, but that's still more than enough to top the 7.5 line.
UCLA won 36-34. The computer won SU, lost ATS.
USC (-20) by 26.88 over Colorado - The computer spread has risen 1.73 points since the preseason. USC has won all 8 previous meetings by an average of 25 points.
USC won 56-28. The computer won SU, won ATS.
DUKE (-3) by 14.42 over Virginia - There's just too much disparity between the line and the computer to overlook this game. Virginia has lost 9 of its last 10 road games. Duke is basically getting nothing more than home-field advantage despite having won 7 straight home games, including the last 6 by at least 18 points.
Duke won 20-13. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Western Kentucky (-3) by 7.10 over FAU - WKU was only a 2.96-point computer pick in the preseason. WKU ranks 2nd in CUSA on offense and FAU ranks 11th in the 13-team league. Neither team has done much on defense with FAU allowing 35.3 ppg and WKU surrendering 38.4.
FAU won 45-38. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.
TEXAS (-11) by 16.29 over Iowa State - These teams rank 8th (Texas) and 9th in Big 12 total offense, but the Longhorns are 3rd in defense while the Cyclones rank 9th. Texas is 10-1 all-time vs. ISU with 6 wins that would have eclipsed this week's spread. The computer trend line is down to 14.84.
Texas won 48-45. The computer won SU, lost ATS.
LOUISVILLE (-14) by 22.30 over N.C. State - The Wolfpack held a 38-35 lead over FSU at the end of the 3rd quarter on September 27. Since then, they have scored a total of 16 points and have been outscored 71-14 in the last two games.
Louisville won 30-18. The computer won SU, lost ATS.