Saturday, October 15
Alabama (-23) by 28.30 over MISSISSIPPI - Alabama was a 23.84-point preseason favorite in this game so it has added more than 4 points. The computer is 6-0 SU, 4-2 ATS with Nick Saban's squad. It's just 3-2 SU, 2-2 ATS with Ole Miss.
Alabama won 52-7. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Boise State (-32) by 34.89 over COLORADO STATE - The computer is a combined 7-2 ATS with these teams in 2011. Though CSU ranks 12th nationally in pass defense, they've also defended the 12th-least number of throws.
Boise State won 63-13. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Toledo (-7.5) by 18.06 over BOWLING GREEN - The computer is 5-1 SU, 4-1 ATS with Toledo and the only miss was the referee PAT debacle in the Syracuse game.
Toledo won 28-21. The computer won SU, lost ATS.
TEMPLE (-20) by 23.79 over Buffalo - Temple wins over Villanova, Akron, Maryland and Ball State have all been by 31 points or more, and three of those came on the road. The computer is 5-1 SU, 5-0 ATS with the Owls.
Temple won 34-0. The computer won SU, won ATS.
MISSOURI (-16) by 27.31 over Iowa State - Missouri has 2 more losses than projected at this point in the computer's preseason forecast. Iowa State is 2 wins above expectations. But the projected margin of victory has only changed fractionally over the course of the season and in favor of the Tigers.
Temple won 52-17. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Oklahoma (-31.5) by 35.44 over KANSAS - I think we can safely say that 42+ isn't out of the question. The two computer misses with the Sooners have come in games where it was under the spread.
Oklahoma won 47-17. The computer won SU, lost ATS.
TEXAS TECH (-3.5) by 8.82 over Kansas State - The Wildcats head to Lubbock undefeated, but they haven't won there since 1997 and are winless in the last 5 meetings with the Red Raiders. Texas Tech QB Seth Doege has completed 71.4% of his passes for 1,706 yards with 17 TD's and just 1 INT. Kansas State ranks 97th in offense, 17th in defense, but just 40th in pass defense.
Kansas State won 41-34. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.
Lsu (-15) by 19.09 over TENNESSEE - The computer is 6-0 SU, 5-0 ATS with the Tigers. Matt Simms replaces the injured Tyler Bray at QB for Tennessee, which isn't necessarily all gloom and doom for the Vols. Simms started several games last year and played well against Georgia after Bray was knocked out of the game. Tennessee.
LSU won 38-7. The computer won SU, won ATS.
RUTGERS (-2) by 5.59 over Navy - Rutgers' only loss this was a 2-point setback at North Carolina. The game will pit the Scarlet Knights' 19th-ranked run defense against the nation's top rushing offense.
Rutgers won 21-20. The computer won SU, lost ATS.
NEVADA (-29) by 29.94 over New Mexico - New Mexico won the only meeting in recent history, a 23-0 shutout in the 2007 New Mexico Bowl. This year's Lobo defense ranks 119th. Nevada's offense isn't as potent as it was under Colin Kaepernick, but it still ranks 21st and topped 500 yards against Oregon and Texas Tech, and gained 699 vs. UNLV.
Nevada won 49-7. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Western Michigan (-1) by 2.05 over NORTHERN ILLINOIS - The computer is 5-1 SU, 4-1 ATS with WMU. The Huskies were the computer's preseason pick.
Northern Illinois won 51-22. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.
Oklahoma State (-5.5) by 10.49 over TEXAS - The Cowboys have too much offense (No. 2 nationally) for Texas to handle, and not enough of their own (No. 69) to keep pace. The computer is 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS with OSU. It's 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS with the Longhorns.
Oklahoma State won 38-26. The computer won SU, won ATS.
SMU (-2.5) by 3.37 over Ucf - The computer is 4-1 SU, 4-0 ATS with the 'Stangs and they're getting less than home field advantage. The Golden Knights have won each of the three previous meetings, all of which have taken place since 2007. The teams haven't played at SMU since 2007.
SMU won 38-17. The computer won SU, won ATS.
WYOMING (-13) by 13.66 over Unlv - UNLV has lost every game this year by at least 25 points except for the 40-20 home victory over Hawaii in which the Warriors lost 4 fumbles.
Wyoming won 41-14. The computer won SU, won ATS.