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10/13/10-10/16/10


FEATURE PICKS ARCHIVES
Week 1: 9/2-9/6
Week 2: 9/9-9/11
Week 3: 9/16-9/18
Week 4: 9/23-9/25
Week 5: 9/30-10/2
Week 6: 10/5-10/9
Week 7: 10/13-10/16
Week 8: 10/21-10/23
Week 9: 10/26-10/30
Week 10: 11/2-11/6
Week 11: 11/9-11/13
Week 12: 11/16-11/20
Week 13: 11/23-11/27
Week 14: 12/2-12/4
Week 15: 12/11-12/11
Week 16: Bowls
Past Season Archives: 2007 | 2008 | 2009 |

EASY PICKINS:
The computer likes the favorite with room to spare.
2010 Regular Season: 33-19 SU (.635), 21-31 ATS (.404)
This Week: 3-3 SU (.500), 3-3 ATS (.500)
PAST RECORDS

Wednesday, October 13
Ucf (-4.5) by 6.55 over MARSHALL - The Golden Knights (3-2, 1-0) have taken 5 straight from the Thundering Herd (1-4, 0-1). Marshall ranks 10th in the conference in total offense and 8th in total defense. Central Florida ranks 8th in total offense, but 1st in total defense.
UCF won 35-14. The computer won SU, won ATS.

Saturday, October 16
BALL STATE (-10) by 15.19 over Eastern Michigan - Ball State ranks 2nd in the MAC in rushing offense while Eastern Michigan ranks next-to-last in rushing defense. The Eagles have lost 18 consecutive games and the Cardinals have taken 5 straight in the series. The computer is 5-1 ATS on EMU games.
Eastern Michigan won 41-38 in OT. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.

Iowa (-3) by 11.55 over MICHIGAN - Iowa ranks 5th in total offense in the Big Ten and 2nd in total defense. Michigan ranks 1st in offense and last in defense.
Iowa won 38-28. The computer won SU, won ATS.

South Carolina (-6.5) by 9.61 over KENTUCKY - South Carolina has taken 10 straight over Kentucky and Steve Spurrier has never lost to the Wildcats in 17 games.
Kentucky won 31-28. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.

CENTRAL MICHIGAN (-10) by 19.39 over Miami (O.) - The Chippewas lead the MAC in total offense while the RedHawks rank 7th in total defense. The computer is 4-1 ATS with CMU games.
Miami, O. won 27-20. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.

Boise State (-38) by 47.11 over SAN JOSE STATE - Boise State has played 3 teams from non-BCS AQ conferences and outscored those opponents by a cumulative 166-20 or an average score of roughly 55-7.
Boise State won 48-0. The computer won SU, won ATS.




HOLD YOUR HORSES:
The computer likes the favorite, but by fewer points than the oddsmakers.
2010 Regular Season: 41-2 SU (.953), 17-26 ATS (.395)
This Week: 5-0 SU (1.000), 1-4 ATS (.200)
PAST RECORDS

Saturday, October 16
INDIANA (-14) by 6.91 over Arkansas State - Indiana was a 5.12-point preseason computer favorite and now has a 6.91 edge. The computer is 5-0 SU with the Hoosiers, but just 1-3 ATS. It is 4-2 SU with the Red Wolves, 3-3 ATS.
Indiana won 36-34. The computer won SU, won ATS.

NOTRE DAME (-23) by 12.56 over Western Michigan - The Broncos present a passing attack that ranks 23rd nationally against an Irish defense that ranks 100th in stopping the pass. These teams haven't met since they played a two-game series in 1919 and 1920.
Notre Dame won 44-20. The computer won SU, lost ATS.

NORTHERN ILLNOIS (-16) by 10.81 over Buffalo - Statistically speaking, these teams are fairly evenly matched. The Huskies rank 2nd in the MAC on offense while the Bulls rank 4th, and NIU ranks 5th on defense while Buffalo ranks 2nd.
Northern Illinois won 45-14. The computer won SU, lost ATS.

OKLAHOMA (-23) by 22.93 over Iowa State - The computer is 4-1 SU and ATS with the Sooners. It is 4-2 SU, 3-2 ATS with the Cyclones. Iowa State ranks last in the conference on offense and defense. Oklahoma ranks next-to-last on defense and 6th on offense.
Oklahoma won 52-0. The computer won SU, lost ATS.

PURDUE (-6) by 1.91 over Minnesota - The computer is 3-3 SU, 3-2 ATS with the Golden Gophers. It is 3-2 SU, 3-1 ATS with the Boilermakers. Minnesota ranks 8th in the Big Ten in total offense while Purdue ranks 9th. Purdue ranks 8th in total defense while Minnesota ranks 10th. The Gophers have won the last two meetings.
Purdue won 28-17. The computer won SU, lost ATS.




UPSETS:
The computer likes the underdog as the outright winner. I don't select the games in this category. Instead, we list every upset projected by the computer.
2010 Regular Season: 12-25 SU (.324), 15-22 ATS (.405)
This Week: 2-7 SU (.222), 2-7 ATS (.222)
PAST RECORDS

Thursday, October 14
KANSAS by 0.21 over Kansas State (-4) - The Wildcats had their 4-0 bubble burst when Nebraska handed them a 48-13 whipping last week on a nationally televised Thursday night game. Now they go to Kansas where the Jayhawks have taken 3 straight in the series. The computer is 0-4 ATS with Kansas and it's a combined 5-5 SU with these teams.
Kansas State won 59-7. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.

Saturday, October 16
Arkansas by 0.90 over AUBURN (-2.5) - The computer is a combined 10-1 SU with these teams and 5-5 ATS. The Razorbacks have won the last two meetings and 3 of the last 4.
Auburn won 65-43. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.

California by 1.98 over USC (-3.5) - The Golden Bears have dropped 6 straight to USC and haven't won in L.A. since 2000. So far this year, the computer is 4-0 ATS on California's games in 2010 after going 8-3 with the Bears last year.
USC won 48-14. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.

Unlv by 2.36 over COLORADO STATE (-4.5) - The computer is 6-0 SU with UNLV and 5-1 with Colorado State. The Rams had won 6 straight in the series until the Rebels broke through with a 35-16 win in Las Vegas last year.
Colorado State won 43-10. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.

NORTH TEXAS by 3.10 over Fiu (-4) - The computer is 5-0 SU with FIU this season, and 4-2 with UNT. It is also 5-0 ATS with the Golden Panthers and 4-2 with the Mean Green.
FIU won 34-10. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.

Idaho by 4.77 over LOUISIANA TECH (-3) - La. Tech leads the overall series 3-2 and each team is 1-1 in games played in Ruston. Idaho ranks 4th in the WAC in total offense and 2nd in total defense. The Bulldogs are 7th in the conference on both sides of the ball. More importantly, the Vandals rank 2nd throwing while the Bulldogs rank last in defending the pass.
Louisiana Tech won 48-35. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.

TOLEDO by 3.25 over Kent State (-1) - The Rockets are hard to figure as they've won at Ohio, Western Michigan and Purdue, but lost at home to Wyoming to give the Cowboys their only win against a team in the FBS. The Golden Flashes lead the nation in total defense while Toledo ranks 113th nationally in total offense.
Toledo won 34-31. The computer won SU, won ATS.

Missouri by 9.8 over TEXAS A&M (-3) - As a 5-0 team in the Big 12, Missouri has been slow to get any love from the pollsters. The congrove Computer Rankings has the Tigers ranked 14th while their highest ranking in the AP, Coaches' or Harris polls is 19th. The Aggies lead the all-time series 7-3, but Mizzou has taken 3 of the last 4.
Missouri won 30-9. The computer won SU, won ATS.

Smu by 0.47 over NAVY (-4) - The nation's 27th-best pass offense of SMU could have a field day against the No. 115 pass efficiency defense of Navy. And on the other side of the ball, Navy pits the nation's No. 10 rushing offense against an SMU defense that ranks 21st in yards allowed per rush.
Navy won 28-21. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.