Thursday, October 11th
WAKE FOREST by 3.67 over Florida State (-6) - The Demon Deacons routed the Seminoles 30-0 in Tallahassee last year for their first win over FSU since 1973. In the process, Wake Forest ended a 14-game losing streak to the 'Noles and handed Bobby Bowden his first-ever shutout loss on his home field. Both teams reside in the ACC's Atlantic Division with the defending champion Demon Deacons sitting at 2-1 while FSU is 1-1. Boston College, which defeated Wake Forest in the opening game, sits atop the division standings with a perfect 3-0 record. Florida State visits BC on November 3.
Wake Forest won 24-21. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Saturday, October 13th
Auburn 1.61 over ARKANSAS (-3) - Auburn and Alabama are the only two teams left within striking distance of LSU and each plays the Tigers in the next three weeks. Arkansas is off to a disappointing 0-2 start in the SEC and its three OOC victories have come against two Sun Belt Conference schools and a Championship Subdivision team.
Auburn won 9-7. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Bowling Green by 0.09 over MIAMI (OHIO) - With back-to-back wins over Syracuse and Kent State, the Red Hawks (2-0, 3-3) have moved into a tie for first place in the MAC East with Akron (2-0, 3-3). Bowling Green (1-0, 3-2) sits a half-game back. The Falcons top the MAC in passing offense which doesn't bode well for Miami - the RedHawks are 12th in the MAC in pass defense, and 94th in the nation. Miami's rushing offense is only a modest 6th in the MAC while BGSU is last in the conference defending the run.
Miami (Ohio) won 47-14. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.
East Carolina by 0.84 over UTEP (-2) - Wins over Houston and UCF have catapulted the Pirates into first place in CUSA's East division. UTEP leads the West after last week's wild 48-47 win over Tulsa.
East Carolina won 45-42 in OT. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Georgia Tech by 4.60 over MIAMI, FLA. (-2.5) - In the preseason, many forecasters expected this to be a heavyweight bout between two contenders for the ACC title. Now, they are basically fighting on the undercard after Miami fell to North Carolina last week and the Yellow Jackets slipped to 1-3 in conference play with a narrow loss at Maryland.
Georgia Tech 17-14. The computer won SU, won ATS.
IOWA by 3.05 over Illinois (-3.5) - Illinois and Ohio State are 3-0 in the Big 10, Michigan is 2-0. The Buckeyes host Kent State in a non-conference game, so the Fighting Illini would find themselves alone at the top of the Big Ten standings if they were to win this week. Iowa is battling Minnesota for last place, yet the computer picks the Hawkeyes to gain the upset here by 3.05 points. The Iowa offense is averaging just 26 points a game, and less than 14 points per game in its three previous conference games (all losses).
Iowa won 10-6. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Middle Tennessee by 2.21 over MEMPHIS (-4) - Middle Tennessee took a hard loss at home to Virginia last week when the Cavaliers kicked the game winning field goal with 8 seconds left. Memphis played, and won, two days after the on-campus shooting death of team mate Taylor Bradford. This is the first-ever meeting between the two Tennessee schools. The computer is 5-1 SU, 4-1 ATS with MTSU.
Middle Tennessee won 21-7. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Purdue by 1.23 over MICHIGAN (-6) - The potent Boilermaker offense was manhandled last week by Ohio State's defense in a 23-7 loss. Michigan, meanwhile, was anything but impressive in a 33-22 win over Eastern Michigan. Michigan only led that game 16-14 in the third quarter before getting 17 unanswered points. Michigan's balanced offense has ran and passed for nearly equal yardage while Purdue has gone through the air for two-thirds of its real estate. Boilermaker QB Brian Painter ranks 3rd nationally with 19 TD passes against just 3 interceptions. Wolverine RB Mike Hart is tops in the conference, and second in the nation, with an average of 162.7 rushing yards per game. Michigan, Illinois and Ohio State are the only Big Ten teams that have yet to endure a conference loss.
Michigan won 48-21. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.
Minnesota by 0.39 over NORTHWESTERN (-7) - If Northwestern wants to make it to a bowl game, it has to beat Minnesota. The Wildcats improved to 3-3 with an overtime win at Michigan State last week. Minnesota is still looking for its Big Ten victory under first-year head coach Tim Brewster.
Northwestern won 49-48 in 2-OT. The computer lost SU, won ATS.
New Mexico by 0.21 over WYOMING - Wyoming joins BYU and, surprisingly, San Diego State as the only teams in the conference that haven't already taken a league loss. The Lobos' two losses have come by a total of 11 points - a 10-6 loss at UTP on opening day, and a 31-24 home loss to BYU in its last outing on September 29. Wyoming beat TCU in its conference opener last week, and is the only team that Virginia has lost to after it routed the Cavaliers 23-3 in the season opener.
New Mexico won 20-3. The computer won SU, won ATS.