Saturday, October 8
Illinois (-14) by 12.73 over INDIANA - Illinois has played the role of the Cardiac Kids with 3 straight 3-point victories over Arizona State, Western Michigan and Northwestern - all at home. The Illini's first road trip is to face an Indiana team that has four losses by a total of 19 points. The computer is 5-0 SU, 4-0 ATS with Illinois. It's 4-1 SU, 3-1 ATS with the Hoosiers.
Illinois won 41-20. The computer won SU, lost ATS.
NORTHERN ILLINOIS (-18.5) by 9.64 over Kent State - The computer is nowhere near agreement on the margin of this game and it's 3-1 ATS with the Huskies. However, it's 1-3 ATS with the Golden Flashes.
Northern Illinois won 40-10. The computer won SU, lost ATS.
SOUTH CAROLINA (-20.5) by 15.24 over Kentucky - The Gamecocks haven't put this much distance between themselves and anyone they've played all year. The computer is 4-1 SU and ATS with Gamecocks. It's 4-1, 3-2 with the Wildcats.
South Carolina won 54-3. The computer won SU, lost ATS.
NAVY (-4.5) by 0.35 over Southern Miss - Navy has two straight losses - at South Carolina and at home to Air Force - by a total of 4 points. Southern Miss won at Virginia but inexplicably lost at Marshall. The Golden Eagles rank 11th nationally against the run. The computer is 4-0 SU, 2-1 ATS with Navy. It's 4-1 SU, 3-1 ATS with Southern Miss.
Southern Miss won 63-35. The computer lost SU, won ATS.
NEBRASKA (-10) by 8.42 over Ohio State - RB Dan Herron and WR Devier Posey are suspended for this game for getting paid too much for too little work in their summer jobs. Both players had already missed the first five games as part of the NCAA's TattooGate investigation. But the Buckeyes, ranked 108th on offense, have other weapons (if they can figure out how to use them) and the defense ranks 13th. Nebraska ranks just 64th on defense and 48th on offense. The computer is 5-0 SU, 3-1 ATS with Nebraska. It's 4-1, 2-3 with Ohio State. The Buckeyes won the only two previous meetings way back in 1955-1956.
Nebraska won 34-27. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Pitt (-6) by 1.38 over RUTGERS - The computer's PMOV (Projected margin of victory) still favors Pitt but it has dropped by more than 3.5 points since the preseason. The Panther defense ranks 94th and the offense only ranks 60th. The Scarlet Knights rank 22nd on defense but a woeful 102nd on offense.
Rutgers won 34-10. The computer lost SU, won ATS.
Tcu (-6) by 2.47 over SAN DIEGO STATE - Hard to believe that TCU only ranks 90th in total defense after finishing 1st in that statistical category each of the last three years. San Diego State RB Ronnie Hillman is the nation's second-leading rusher with 151.5 yards per game, including 109 in the Aztecs' lone loss at Michigan.
TCU won 27-14. The computer won SU, lost ATS.
Texas A&M (-6.5) by 5.30 over TEXAS TECH - Despite being 4-0 and ranked 10th in the CCR Top 120, the Red Raiders are the computer underdog at home to Texas A&M. The Aggies have demonstrated a bizarre inability to play the second half by blowing back-to-back halftime leads of 17 and 18 points. The computer is 4-0 SU, 2-1 ATS with Texas Tech., It's 2-2 SU and ATS with A&M.
Texas A&M won 45-40. The computer won SU, won ATS.
UCLA (-5.5) by 3.61 over Washington State - Don't be surprised if Washington State is the outright winner. The Cougars are averaging over 515 yards of offense per game and the Bruins rank 97th on defense.
UCLA won 28-25. The computer won SU, won ATS.