Thursday, September 27
Stanford (-7) by 8.76 over WASHINGTON - Stanford has won the last 4 meetings, and 6-of-7. With Andrew Luck at QB, the Cardinal won the last 3 by 20 points or more. Obviously, Stanford doesn't have Luck anymore so this basically falls to the question of whether you believe Stanford has enough talent to continue its domination of the Huskies. I believe that answer is "yes". So far, the computer is 12-4 ATS on PAC-12 North teams this year.
Washington won 17-13. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.
Saturday, September 29
Louisiana Tech (-2.5) by 7.20 over VIRGINIA - A bad year to schedule Louisiana Tech as a home cupcake. This team is all about offense (their defense rank is 119) and you will have to outscore them to beat them. UVa ranks 88th in total offense and 80th in total defense.
Louisiana Tech won 44-38. The computer won SU, won ATS.
MICHIGAN STATE (-1.5) by 12.31 over Ohio State - The Big Ten opener for both schools and a must-win for Michigan State. I like this game only because of the scant 1.5-point edge given to the Spartans which has since climbed to 3 since the opening.
Ohio State won 17-16. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.
GEORGIA (-15.5) by 16.28 over Tennessee - Georgia doesn't have the horse to run with the big 'Dawgs.
Georgia won 51-44. The computer won SU, lost ATS.
Florida State (-14) by 15.69 over USF - This game should be a 4-TD blowout as the 'Noles seek revenge for their 2009 home loss to the Bulls.
Florida State won 30-17. The computer won SU, lost ATS.
North Texas (-3.5) by 10.47 over FAU - The computer spread for this game has risen by nearly a full point since the preseason which usually serves as a good indicator about where each team is headed.
North Texas won 20-14. The computer won SU, won ATS.
EAST CAROLINA (-4) by 6.71 over Utep - UTEP is a notoriously terrible road team with wins in just 4 of its last 22 journeys away from home, and those wins all came against some of the worst college football teams of all time - New Mexico, New Mexico State (twice) and Tulane. This is East Carolina's first home game this season vs. a Bowl Subdivision team.
East Carolina won 28-18. The computer won SU, won ATS.
NEBRASKA (-11.5) by 16.79 over Wisconsin - Another Big Ten opener. The result of this one should be somewhere between the 11.5-point line and 16.79-point computer pick.
Nebraska won 30-27. The computer won SU, lost ATS.