Thursday, September 12
Tulane by 3 over LOUISIANA TECH (-7.5) - The computer says La. Tech was a 2.16-point preseason underdog and the margin has climbed slightly as the Bulldogs have lost by 26 at N.C. State and only defeated FCS Lamar by 13. Skip Holtz is the new Louisiana Tech head coach after Sonny Dykes bolted for California. Of course, Tulane lost by 2 at home to FBS upstart South Alabama on Saturday, so this is a little iffy.
Tulane won 24-15. The computer won SU, won ATS.
TEXAS TECH by 6.22 over Tcu (-6) - The line was in the 3-1/2 range favoring TCU by Monday afternoon. The computer edge for Texas Tech has risen from 2.83 in the preseason to the current 6.22.
Texas Tech won 20-10. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Saturday, September 14
Mississippi State by 4.05 over AUBURN (-7) - The computer's edge for MSU has shrunk by nearly 3 points since the start of the season. The Bulldogs won 28-10 in Starkville last year for just their 2nd victory in the last 12 meetings.
Auburn won 24-20. The computer lost SU, won ATS.
NORTH TEXAS (-0.23) over Ball State (-2.5) - The game is basically a toss-up. So far this season, the computer is 2-0 SU and ATS with UNT. It's 1-0 SU and ATS with the Cardinals.
North Texas won 34-27. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Bowling Green by 10.46 over INDIANA (-4) - Both teams can put points on the board, but BGSU would appear to have a solid edge on defense. The Hoosiers allowed an average of 37.5 points in their first two outings while the Falcons allowed 14.5, including just 7 to Tulsa.
Indiana won 42-10. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.
Central Michigan by 6.52 over UNLV (-16) - The line for UNLV dropped quickly to 7, but I picks seems outrageous on the surface. But under the surface, CMU's 59-9 loss at Michigan isn't shameful and nearly losing to New Hampshire is understandable when you know UNH had won 5 straight games vs. FBS schools until last year's loss at Minnesota. The Rebels, on the other hand, have been manhandled at Minnesota (51-23) and at home vs. Arizona (58-13). Personally, I still don't see the Chippewas doing any good in Vegas unless it's at a Craps table.
UNLV won 31-21. The computer lost SU, won ATS.
CONNECTICUT by 5.31 over Maryland (-7) - It's "Hate Randy Edsall Week" at UConn. The Maryland head coach led UConn for 12 seasons before abandoning the Huskies in 2011 to replace the fired Ralph Friedgen. He led the school's transition to 1-A (now FBS) in 2000 and its entry into the Big East. At the end of his UConn tenure, the school was on a four-bowl appearance streak. UConn has gone 5-7 in both seasons under Paul Pasqualoni and the computer projected the Huskies to repeat that record this year. Maryland comes in with two blowout wins over lightweight FIU and an Old Dominion team transitioning from the FCS to the FBS, while UConn lost its opener to FCS member Towson.
Maryland won 32-21. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.
Fau by 3.14 over USF (-10.5) - USF quarterback Bobby Eveld is the Logan Thomas (Virginia Tech) of the American Athletic Conference. Eveld was 6-of-25 with a pick in Saturday's 21-6 at Michigan State. His first start saw the Bulls get stampeded 53-21 at home by FCS member McNeese State. I make the reference to Thomas because of his stat line against Alabama which was futilely similar (5-of-26 with a pick). Apparently, neither team in this contest has an offense as FAU enters averaging 9.5 per game and USF 13.5.
FAU won 28-10. The computer won SU, won ATS.
IOWA STATE by 0.73 over Iowa (-3) - Iowa has won 39-of-60 meetings, but Iowa State has taken the last 2, and 9 of the last 15. Both schools were picked to finish at the bottom of their respective conferences with Iowa expected to go 2-10 and Iowa State 3-9.
Iowa won 27-21. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.
Louisiana-Monroe by 8.07 over WAKE FOREST (-3.5) - UL-M quarterback is probable for the game which makes this a pick I can believe. Wake looked awful at BC and only manage a 31-7 win over FCS member Presbyterian.
Louisiana-Monroe won 21-19. The computer won SU, won ATS.
OHIO (-0.40) over Marshall (-6) - The Bobcats will have be studly on pass defense for this to happen. Herd QB Rakeem Cato led the nation last year and has already thrown for 483 yards and 6 TD's this season. Ohio leads the series 31-19-6, including wins in the last two seasons after dropping 6 straight from 2001-2010.
Ohio won 34-31. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Ucla by 1.22 over NEBRASKA (-4) - The way the 'Huskers have been playing, I could see the Bruins winning by 20. The computer had Nebraska as a 7-win team in the preseason and now projects just 6 Cornhusker wins.
UCLA won 41-21. The computer won SU, won ATS.