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9/1/11-9/5/11


FEATURE PICKS ARCHIVES
Week 1: 9/1-9/5
Week 2: 9/8-9/10
Week 3: 9/15-9/17
Week 4: 9/22-9/24
Week 5: 9/29-10/1
Week 6: 10/6-10/8
Week 7: 10/13-10/15
Week 8: 10/18-10/22
Week 9: 10/25-10/29
Week 10: 11/1-11/5
Week 11: 11/8-11/12
Week 12: 11/15-11/19
Week 13: 11/22-11/26
Week 14: 12/1-12/3
Week 15: 12/10-12/10
Week 16: Bowls
Past Season Archives: 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 |

EASY PICKINS:
The computer likes the favorite with room to spare.
2011 Regular Season: 6-1 SU (.857), 3-4 ATS (.429)
This Week: 6-1 SU (.857), 3-4 ATS (.429)
PAST RECORDS

Thursday, September 1
IDAHO (-8.5) by 15.67 over Bowling Green - The Vandals are projected by the Congrove Computer Rankings to take 2nd in the WAC while the Falcons are picked to tie for last in the MAC East. BGSU was 1-6 away from home last year. The computer is 61-33 SU with Bowling Green over the last 8 years, 72-20 with Idaho. The 16,000-seat capacity Kibbie Dome may be rocking.
Bowling Green won 32-15. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.

Mississippi State (-27.5) by 39.82 over MEMPHIS - The computer projects Memphis to be, by far, the worst team in the FBS this season while the Bulldogs are projected to go 9-3 in the SEC West. Mississippi State won last year's meeting 49-7 in Starkville.
Mississippi State won 591-4. The computer won SU, won ATS.

SYRACUSE (-6) by 9.95 over Wake Forest - The Orange are a projected bowl team while the Demon Deacons are forecasted to finish last in the ACC Atlantic.
Syracuse won 36-29 in OT. The computer won SU, won ATS.

WISCONSIN (-35) by 35.41 over Unlv - This game just seems to have "laugher" written all over it. This is a battle of No. 12 vs. No. 118. I'm sure you know which team is ranked 118th. Graduate student QB Russell Wilson (formerly NC State) is the new man behind center for the Badgers who appear to be top contender in the national title chase.
Wisconsin won 51-17. The computer won SU, lost ATS.

Saturday, September 3
Boise State (-3) by 15.97 vs. Georgia at Atlanta - If the Bulldogs make this game closer than 3, or win it, they're a heckuva lot better than their opening season ranking of 54. Boise State loses Titus Young and Austin Pettis from its receiving corps for Heisman candidate QB Kellen Moore, but plenty of talent returns.
Boise State won 35-21. The computer won SU, won ATS.

Byu (-2.5) by 8.32 over MISSISSIPPI - The computer has picked BYU to go 11-1 and the Rebels to go 3-9.
BYU won 14-13. The computer won SU, lost ATS.

OKLAHOMA STATE (-36.5) by 40.86 over Louisiana - The 117th-ranked Ragin' Cajuns visit the 17th-ranked Cowboys. Louisiana lost last year's opener at a mediocre Georgia team by 48 points.
Oklahoma State won 61-34. The computer won SU, lost ATS.





HOLD YOUR HORSES:
The computer likes the favorite, but by fewer points than the oddsmakers.
2011 Regular Season: 3-0 SU (1.000), 1-2 ATS (.333)
This Week: 3-0 SU (1.000), 1-2 ATS (.333)
PAST RECORDS

Saturday, September 3
California (-10) by 1.25 over Fresno State (Candlestick Park in San Francisco) - All of Cal's home games in 2011 will be played at AT&T Park in San Francisco while Memorial Stadium on the Berkeley campus gets a makeover. But this game takes place at 70,000-seat Candlestick and the Bulldogs have sold nearly 50% more tickets than the Golden Bears.
California won 36-21. The computer won SU, lost ATS.

Ohio (-7.5) by 1.73 at NEW MEXICO STATE - We'll find out if it's for better or worse, but the Aggies return a ton of skill position starters and picked up some key JUCO transfers that could pay dividends immediately. DeWayne Walker's team is projected to win only two games, but the computer has a spread of less than 6 points on 6 of the teams' losses.
Ohio won 44-24. The computer won SU, lost ATS.

Sunday, September 4
WEST VIRGINIA (-21) by 13.27 over Marshall - Part of me is afraid of what Dana Holgorsen's offense may do to the Herd, but West Virginia will be playing its first game under a new head coach and it comes against a state rival that almost pulled off the upset in Huntington last year. Marshall lost by 17 at WVU on its last visit in 2009.
West Virginia won 34-13. The computer won SU, won ATS (we don't recognize tie picks).




UPSETS:
The computer likes the underdog as the outright winner. I don't select the games in this category. Instead, we list every upset projected by the computer.
2011 Regular Season: 3-2 SU (.600), 4-1 ATS (.800)
This Week: 3-2 SU (.600), 4-1 ATS (.800)
PAST RECORDS

Friday, September 2
BAYLOR by 0.28 over Tcu (-6) - The Horned Frogs return just 3 offensive and 5 defensive starters. The game is at Baylor and Robert Griffin III is back at QB for the Bears after totaling 4,309 yards of offense a year ago.
Baylor won 50-48. The computer won SU, won ATS.

Saturday, September 3
Ball State by 0.30 over Indiana (-6.5) (Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis) - Both teams break in new head coaches - Pete Lembo with the Cardinals and Kevin Wilson with the Hoosiers. Not sure I buy into this "upset" pick, but, according to the computer, Ball State is ranked No. 91 and Indiana is No. 114.
Ball State won 27-20. The computer won SU, won ATS.

Colorado by 0.20 over HAWAII (-6.5) - The Warriors lost 31-13 at Colorado last year and this is likely to be a decent Buffaloes team under first-year head coach, and former Colorado tight end, Jon Embree. The computer has picked Hawaii to finish 3rd in the WAC, but others have the Warriors winning that weakened conference.
Hawaii won 34-17. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.

NEW MEXICO by 1.40 over Colorado State (-5.5) - The computer has the Lobos actually winning 3 games this year, but UNLV and FCS member Sam Houston State are the others. This is the victory that puts it ahead of Colorado State in the computer's projected final standings of the Mountain West. The Lobos have won a total of two games over the last two years and Colorado State's last visit to Albuquerque gave Locksley his first and only victory in 2009.
Colorado State won 14-10. The computer lost SU, won ATS.

Monday, September 5
MARYLAND by 3.59 over Miami, Fla. (-5.5) - Eight Hurricanes have been suspended for this game, including QB Jacory Harris and top linebacker Sean Spence. But this week's starting QB, Stephen Morris, started and won last year's game vs. Maryland in Miami 26-20.
Maryland won 32-24. The computer won SU, won ATS.